Who wins the presidency?

Joe Biden is Very Likely to win the electoral college

89.7%

10.3%

Electoral Votes

With Tossup                     No Tossup

289

389

125

149

  3.4%

  5,000,669 votes

Popular Vote

77,016,261 votes

52.2%

65,556,227 votes

44.4%

Joe Biden +7.77%

Last update: November 3, 2020 18:00

The forecast model is frozen until the end of time.

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How the race changed over time

WINNING ODDS

Bernie Sanders drops out of primary

Joe Biden becomes presumptive nominee

Joe Biden selects Kamala Harris

as running mate

VOTE PERCENTAGE

Electoral vote distribution

Third party vote distribution

389

149

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