Joe Biden is Very Likely to win the electoral college
89.7%
10.3%
Electoral Votes
With Tossup No Tossup
289
389
125
149
3.4%
5,000,669 votes
Popular Vote
77,016,261 votes
52.2%
65,556,227 votes
44.4%
Joe Biden +7.77%
Last update: November 3, 2020 18:00​
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The forecast model is frozen until the end of time.
For our live election day page, click here.
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How the race changed over time
Bernie Sanders drops out of primary
Joe Biden becomes presumptive nominee
Joe Biden selects Kamala Harris
as running mate
Electoral vote distribution
Third party vote distribution
389
149
Data visualization with AMCHARTS, check them out.