Who wins Georgia?
Odds of Winning
We expect Joe Biden to win Georgia by 0.32%.
Georgia is rated as Pure Tossup.
Winning Odds Over Time
Popular Vote Over Time
Registering new voters is a key part of winning elections.
Here's a look at where Democrats and Republicans have registered new voters since the 2016 election:
Since the 2016 election,
79,330 new African-American voters have registered,
77,329 new White voters have registered and
72,308 new Hispanic/Latino voters have registered,
Overall, Democrats have registered the most new voters.
Breaking down who we expect will show up on election day by demographics.
Every state has a unique demographic composition. See how we expect it to change from 2016 to 2020:
We expect significant demographic swings from 2016 to 2020:
White voters: from 60% to 59%
African-American voters: from 30% to 32%
Hispanic/Latino voters: from 4% to 5%
We expect the partisan composition to become 2% more Democratic:
35% Republican, 34% Democrat and 31% Independent
Turnout isn't the only thing we expect will change from 2016 to 2020.
How each demographic group will vote is also expected to change, explore those changes here:
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