Who wins Michigan?

78.90% 

20.87% 

Joe Biden

2,527,356

51.90%

Donald Trump

2,182,214

44.81%

Odds of Winning

We expect Joe Biden to win Michigan by 7.09%.

Michigan is rated as Likely Biden.

Winning Odds Over Time

Popular Vote Over Time

  • Voter Registration

Registering new voters is a key part of winning elections.

 

Here's a look at where Democrats and Republicans have registered new voters since the 2016 election:

Since the 2016 election,

Democrats have registered ________ new voters,

Republicans have registered ________ new voters and

Independents have registered ________ new voters.

Overall, ________ have registered the most new voters.

  • Turnout Demographics

<< 2016     2020 >>

Breaking down who we expect will show up on election day by demographics.

Every state has a unique demographic composition. See how we expect it to change from 2016 to 2020: 

We expect mild demographic swings from 2016 to 2020:

White voters: from 75% to 74%

Hispanic/Latino voters: from 15% to 16%

We expect the partisan composition to become 2% more Democratic:

41Democrat, 29% Republican, 29% Independent.

  • Turnout Demographics

Turnout isn't the only thing we expect will change from 2016 to 2020.

How each demographic group will vote is also expected to change, explore those changes here:

<< 2016           2020 >>

Most Recent Polls

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