Who wins Missouri?

12.32% 

87.30% 

Joe Biden

1,218,850

43.10%

Donald Trump

1,499,249

53.02%

Odds of Winning

We expect Donald Trump to win Missouri by 9.92%.

Missouri is rated as Likely Trump.

Winning Odds Over Time

Popular Vote Over Time

  • Voter Registration

Registering new voters is a key part of winning elections.

 

Here's a look at where Democrats and Republicans have registered new voters since the 2016 election:

Unfortunately, Missouri voters don't register with a political party.

However, based on county and state party data, we know that there has been a 1% shift in the partisan composition of registered voters in favor of the Republican Party since the 2016 Presidential election. 

  • Turnout Demographics

<< 2016     2020 >>

Breaking down who we expect will show up on election day by demographics.

Every state has a unique demographic composition. See how we expect it to change from 2016 to 2020: 

We expect significant demographic swings from 2016 to 2020:

White voters: from 79% to 77%

African-American voters: from 14% to 15%

Hispanic/Latino voters: from 4% to 5%

We expect the partisan composition to become 33% more Democratic:

38% Republican, 35% Democrat and 27% Independent.

  • Turnout Demographics

Turnout isn't the only thing we expect will change from 2016 to 2020.

How each demographic group will vote is also expected to change, explore those changes here:

<< 2016           2020 >>

Most Recent Polls

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