Who wins Nevada?
Odds of Winning
We expect Joe Biden to win Nevada by 6.46%.
Nevada is rated as Likely Biden.
Winning Odds Over Time
Popular Vote Over Time
Registering new voters is a key part of winning elections.
Here's a look at where Democrats and Republicans have registered new voters since the 2016 election:
Since the 2016 election,
Independents have registered 55,001 new voters,
Republicans have registered 37,424 new voters and
Democrats have registered 34,290 new voters.
Overall, Independents have registered the most new voters.
Breaking down who we expect will show up on election day by demographics.
Every state has a unique demographic composition. See how we expect it to change from 2016 to 2020:
We expect significant demographic swings from 2016 to 2020:
White voters: from 62% to 60%
Hispanic/Latino voters: from 18% to 20%
We expect the partisan composition to stay the same as 2016:
36% Democrat, 36% Independent and 28% Republican.
Turnout isn't the only thing we expect will change from 2016 to 2020.
How each demographic group will vote is also expected to change, explore those changes here:
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