Who wins New Hampshire?
Odds of Winning
We expect Joe Biden to win New Hampshire by 7.07%.
New Hampshire is rated as Likely Biden.
Winning Odds Over Time
Popular Vote Over Time
Registering new voters is a key part of winning elections.
Here's a look at where Democrats and Republicans have registered new voters since the 2016 election:
Since the 2016 election,
Independents have registered ________ new voters,
Republicans have registered ________ new voters and
Democrats have registered ________ new voters.
Overall, ________ have registered the most new voters.
Breaking down who we expect will show up on election day by demographics.
Every state has a unique demographic composition. See how we expect it to change from 2016 to 2020:
We expect no major demographic swings from 2016 to 2020:
White voters: 92% of electorate
Hispanic/Latino voters: 4% of electorate
We expect the partisan composition to become 2% more Democratic:
43% Independent, 29% Democrat and 28% Republican.
Turnout isn't the only thing we expect will change from 2016 to 2020.
How each demographic group will vote is also expected to change, explore those changes here:
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