Who wins Ohio?

49.96% 

50.04% 

Joe Biden

2,695,795

48.43%

Donald Trump

2,700,292

48.52%

Odds of Winning

We expect Donald Trump to win Ohio by 0.08%.

Ohio is rated as Pure Tossup.

Winning Odds Over Time

Popular Vote Over Time

  • Voter Registration

Registering new voters is a key part of winning elections.

 

Here's a look at where Democrats and Republicans have registered new voters since the 2016 election:

Since the 2016 election,

Independents have registered _________ new voters,

Republicans have registered _________ new voters and

Democrats have registered _________ new voters.

Overall, _________ have registered the most new voters.

  • Turnout Demographics

Breaking down who we expect will show up on election day by demographics.

Every state has a unique demographic composition. See how we expect it to change from 2016 to 2020: 

We expect significant demographic swings from 2016 to 2020:

White voters: from 80% to 79%

Hispanic/Latino voters: from 14% to 16%

We expect the partisan composition to be 2% more Democratic:

36% Republican, 35% Democrat and 29% Independent.

<< 2016      2020 >>

  • Turnout Demographics

Turnout isn't the only thing we expect will change from 2016 to 2020.

How each demographic group will vote is also expected to change, explore those changes here:

<< 2016           2020 >>

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