Who wins the Senate?

Democrats are Favored to win control

78.1%

21.9%

How the race changed over time

Last update: November 3, 2020 18:00

The forecast model is frozen until the end of time.

For our live election day page, click here.

Steve Bullock (MT) enters race,

creating pathway to 51-seat majority

Joe Biden odds move outside MOE

50 seats needed for majority

Change in Senate composition

Which states switch hands

Democratic Gain                     Republican Gain

With Tossup                     No Tossup

50(+3)

52(+5)

45(-3)

46(-5)

Arizona

Kelly +6.7%

Colorado

Hickenlooper +11.6%

Maine

Gideon +3.6%

Alabama

Tommy Tuberville +10.1%

North Carolina

Cunningham +2.9%

Currently, we expect both Georgia Senate races to

head to a runoff election in January of 2021.

If you are a campaign / organization who wants access to our data, please email us at 2020@OurProgress.org

Data visualization by amcharts - check them out!